Diagnoses and outcomes of critically ill patients admitted to a high dependency unit of a rural referral hospital in Tanzania: A prospective cohort study.
Keywords:
High dependency unit, Critical care, Rular Africa, Outcome, Diagnoses, MortalityAbstract
Background: Evidence on outcomes of patients admitted to high dependency units (HDUs) of hospitals situated in rural sub-Saharan Africa remains highly limited. In this study, we describe patient’s characteristics, diagnoses, and outcomes of critically ill patients admitted to a high dependency unit of a referral hospital in rural Tanzania, and factors associated with in-hospital mortality.
Methods: This prospective single-center cohort study was conducted in the HDU of a rural referral hospital in Tanzania. All patients admitted to the HDU within routine care were eligible. We performed descriptive analyses, univariate- and multivariate models and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for predictors of in-hospital mortality.
Results: From April 4th 2023 to March 29th 2024, 491 admitted patients were included and followed-up until hospital discharge. Median patients’ age was 46 years (IQR 29-65); 259 (53%) were females. The most common diagnoses were sepsis (N=96, 20%), hypertension (N=91, 19%), diabetes mellitus (N=84, 17%) acute kidney injury (N=66, 13%), decompensated heart failure (N=64, 13%), aspiration pneumonia (N=60, 12%), and stroke (n=59, 12%). Mortality during HDU and hospital stay was 30% and 37%, respectively. Predictors of in-hospital mortality were age ³ 45 years (adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) 1.56, 95%CI 1.07-2.28, p=0.03), blood pressure <90mmHg (aHR 2.33, 95%CI 1.48-3.81, p<0.001), Glasgow Coma Scale score £ 8 (aHR 2.13, 95%CI 1.24-3.64, p=0.02) and oxygen saturation at room air < 90% (aHR 1.62, 95% CI 1.04-2.51, p=0.03). The area under the curve predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.69 (95%CI 0.65-0.73) for the NEWS score, 0.69 (95%CI 0.65-0.73) for the UVA score, 0.66 (95%CI 0.62-0.70) for the MEWS score, 0.65 (95%CI 0.61-0.69) for the qSOFA score, and 0.52 (95% CI 0.49-0.55) for the SIRS score.
Conclusion: Sepsis and non-communicable diseases were the most common diagnoses. Mortality was high, with scores predicting in-hospital mortality with a moderate accuracy.